tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → New York via Washington: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:16 BDL → 16:03 DCA
    AA 5059 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 38m · 51% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:58 DCA → 21:30 JFK
    AA 4474 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 32m · 50% on time, 27.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (27.3% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 14mBDL 14:16 to JFK 21:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.