tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → New York via Washington: arrives on time 54%

  1. 09:36 BDL → 11:11 DCA
    AA 5060 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 73% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 DCA → 16:29 JFK
    AA 4781 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 62% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 178 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 53mBDL 09:36 to JFK 16:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.