tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Charlotte via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:12 BHM → 17:24 DFW
    AA 5063 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 12m · 48% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:54 DFW → 22:38 CLT
    AA 1229 · American · 2h 44m · 53% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 26mBHM 15:12 to CLT 22:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.