tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 17%

  1. 15:12 BHM → 17:24 DFW
    AA 5063 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 12m · 48% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 DFW → 22:05 MIA
    AA 2206 · American · 2h 55m · 56% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 53mBHM 15:12 to MIA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.