tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:12 BHM → 17:24 DFW
    AA 5063 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 12m · 48% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 DFW → 22:00 TPA
    AA 2401 · American · 2h 38m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 56mBHM 15:12 to TPA 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.