tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 10:18 HOU → 11:43 DFW
    AA 5071 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 25m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 DFW → 17:56 JFK
    AA 1049 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 38mHOU 10:18 to JFK 17:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.