tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 53%

  1. 10:18 HOU → 11:43 DFW
    AA 5071 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 25m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:37 DFW → 14:16 MEM
    AA 3676 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip3h 58mHOU 10:18 to MEM 14:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.