tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:18 HOU → 11:43 DFW
    AA 5071 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 25m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:17 DFW → 17:32 SDF
    AA 4152 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 12mHOU 10:18 to SDF 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.