tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Denver via Charlotte: arrives on time 29%

  1. 14:45 BHM → 17:29 CLT
    AA 5075 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 CLT → 20:17 DEN
    AA 1736 · American · 3h 45m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 32mBHM 14:45 to DEN 20:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.