tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:45 BHM → 17:29 CLT
    AA 5075 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 CLT → 21:59 TPA
    AA 2022 · American · 1h 43m · 68% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 14mBHM 14:45 to TPA 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.