tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:45 BHM → 17:29 CLT
    AA 5075 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 CLT → 22:21 MIA
    AA 2321 · American · 2h 06m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 36mBHM 14:45 to MIA 22:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.