tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Houston via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:45 BHM → 17:29 CLT
    AA 5075 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:41 CLT → 20:33 IAH
    AA 2935 · American · 2h 52m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 48mBHM 14:45 to IAH 20:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.