tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:45 BHM → 17:29 CLT
    AA 5075 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 CLT → 22:00 MCO
    AA 3200 · American · 1h 45m · 61% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 15mBHM 14:45 to MCO 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.