tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:45 BHM → 17:29 CLT
    AA 5075 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 CLT → 22:34 DTW
    AA 419 · American · 1h 48m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 49mBHM 14:45 to DTW 22:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.