tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Dallas-Fort Worth via Birmingham: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:32 CLT → 18:08 BHM
    AA 5077 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 54% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Birmingham (BHM) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 BHM → 21:20 DFW
    AA 3417 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 15m · 64% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 48mCLT 17:32 to DFW 21:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.