tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 12:32 BNA → 15:08 CLT
    AA 5082 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 72% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 CLT → 17:38 RIC
    AA 5478 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 23m · 50% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 06mBNA 12:32 to RIC 17:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.