tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → White Plains via Washington: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:58 ATL → 18:59 DCA
    AA 5084 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 01m · 25% on time, 17.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 DCA → 23:29 HPN
    AA 5289 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 24m · 61% on time, 10.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (17.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (10.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 31mATL 16:58 to HPN 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.