tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dallas-Fort Worth via Atlanta: arrives on time 17%

  1. 14:20 DCA → 16:26 ATL
    AA 5084 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 32% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:34 ATL → 19:08 DFW
    AA 1376 · American · 2h 34m · 43% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 48mDCA 14:20 to DFW 19:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.