tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Miami via Charleston: arrives on time 25%

  1. 18:00 CLT → 19:17 CHS
    AA 5086 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 17m · 52% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charleston (CHS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CHS → 21:55 MIA
    AA 1657 · American · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 54mCLT 18:00 to MIA 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.