tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:23 ORF → 07:40 PHL
    AA 5088 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 17m · 85% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 PHL → 12:59 MIA
    AA 796 · American · 2h 59m · 70% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 36mORF 06:23 to MIA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.