tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:23 ORF → 07:40 PHL
    AA 5088 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 17m · 85% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:40 PHL → 13:25 MSP
    DL 2688 · Delta · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 02mORF 06:23 to MSP 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.