tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albany → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 64%

  1. 05:08 ALB → 06:42 DCA
    AA 5101 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 87% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 DCA → 09:00 ORD
    AA 2304 · American · 2h 17m · 83% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Albany). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 49mALB 05:08 to ORD 09:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.