tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dallas-Fort Worth via Columbia: arrives on time 22%

  1. 16:39 DCA → 18:22 CAE
    AA 5108 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 43% on time, 11.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Columbia (CAE) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:23 CAE → 21:13 DFW
    AA 3449 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 50m · 60% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (11.3% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 34mDCA 16:39 to DFW 21:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.