tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Seattle via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:26 CMH → 19:12 CLT
    AA 5117 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 65% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 CLT → 22:59 SEA
    AA 1674 · American · 5h 41m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip8h 34mCMH 17:26 to SEA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.