tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:26 CMH → 19:12 CLT
    AA 5117 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 65% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 CLT → 21:59 TPA
    AA 2022 · American · 1h 43m · 68% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 33mCMH 17:26 to TPA 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.