tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:26 CMH → 19:12 CLT
    AA 5117 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 65% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CLT → 22:08 EWR
    AA 2794 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 42mCMH 17:26 to EWR 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.