tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:15 DAY → 09:56 DFW
    AA 5125 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 41m · 84% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 DFW → 13:25 ORD
    AA 3330 · American · 2h 40m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 10mDAY 08:15 to ORD 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.