tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dulles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:15 DAY → 09:56 DFW
    AA 5125 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 41m · 84% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:25 DFW → 16:31 IAD
    UA 358 · United · 3h 06m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 16mDAY 08:15 to IAD 16:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.