tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → New York via Washington: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:04 TUL → 20:49 DCA
    AA 5128 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 45m · 90% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DCA → 23:44 LGA
    AA 4660 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 14m · 70% on time, 21.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (21.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 40mTUL 17:04 to LGA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.