tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:12 CLE → 18:47 PHL
    AA 5129 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 35m · 64% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 PHL → 22:49 IAH
    AA 3021 · American · 3h 54m · 70% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 37mCLE 17:12 to IAH 22:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.