tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 15:44 CMH → 17:31 CLT
    AA 5134 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 CLT → 20:30 EWR
    AA 1071 · American · 2h 09m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 46mCMH 15:44 to EWR 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.