tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Dallas-Fort Worth via Washington: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:12 CVG → 12:59 DCA
    AA 5145 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 60% on time, 8.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:47 DCA → 16:14 DFW
    AA 1177 · American · 3h 27m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (8.7% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 02mCVG 11:12 to DFW 16:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.