Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Nashville via Washington: arrives on time 37%

  1. 11:12 CVG → 12:59 DCA
    AA 5145 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 60% on time, 8.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:54 DCA → 14:59 BNA
    AA 3991 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 05m · 77% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (8.7% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 47mCVG 11:12 to BNA 14:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.