Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → New York via Hebron: arrives on time 50%
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09:00 DCA → 10:49 CVGAA 5145 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 72% on time, 6.9% cancelled
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1h 00m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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11:49 CVG → 14:00 JFKAA 4408 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 81% on time, 6.9% cancelled
Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 00mDCA 09:00 to JFK 14:00, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.