tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:07 TYS → 08:57 DCA
    AA 5149 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 82% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 DCA → 12:38 MIA
    AA 1173 · American · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 31mTYS 07:07 to MIA 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.