tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Atlanta via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:32 DAY → 20:11 DFW
    AA 5156 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 39m · 61% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 00:19 ATL +1 day
    AA 2749 · American · 2h 09m · 55% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 47mDAY 18:32 to ATL 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.