tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:09 DAY → 08:50 DFW
    AA 5157 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 41m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:38 DFW → 14:00 PHL
    AA 402 · American · 3h 22m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 51mDAY 07:09 to PHL 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.