tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 49%

  1. 09:34 DAY → 11:10 DCA
    AA 5159 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:56 DCA → 13:35 CLT
    AA 1295 · American · 1h 39m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 01mDAY 09:34 to CLT 13:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.