tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Denver via Washington: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:34 DAY → 11:10 DCA
    AA 5159 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:59 DCA → 15:54 DEN
    F9 687 · Frontier · 3h 55m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 20mDAY 09:34 to DEN 15:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.