tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 MHT → 07:50 DCA
    AA 5160 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 55m · 85% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:25 DCA → 10:20 MDW
    WN 1444 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Manchester). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 20mMHT 06:00 to MDW 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.