tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Atlanta via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 13:34 DAY → 15:10 DFW
    AA 5163 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 36m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 DFW → 19:11 ATL
    AA 1379 · American · 2h 11m · 34% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip5h 37mDAY 13:34 to ATL 19:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.