tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:34 DAY → 15:10 DFW
    AA 5163 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 36m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 DFW → 20:53 PHL
    AA 2973 · American · 3h 43m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 19mDAY 13:34 to PHL 20:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.