tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 40%

  1. 13:04 DSM → 16:44 PHL
    AA 5165 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 40m · 71% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 PHL → 19:55 ATL
    AA 3041 · American · 2h 20m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 51mDSM 13:04 to ATL 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.