tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Providence via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:10 DTW → 20:54 PHL
    AA 5167 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 75% on time, 18.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 PHL → 23:13 PVD
    AA 1664 · American · 1h 18m · 82% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (18.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 03mDTW 19:10 to PVD 23:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.