tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Birmingham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 44%

  1. 19:10 DTW → 20:54 PHL
    AA 5167 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 75% on time, 18.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 PHL → 23:40 BHM
    AA 5402 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 35m · 75% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (18.6% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 30mDTW 19:10 to BHM 23:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.