tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Albany via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:10 DTW → 20:54 PHL
    AA 5167 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 75% on time, 18.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 23:23 ALB
    AA 5877 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (18.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 13mDTW 19:10 to ALB 23:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.