tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Harrisburg via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:10 DTW → 20:54 PHL
    AA 5167 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 75% on time, 18.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 PHL → 23:10 MDT
    AA 5944 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (18.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 00mDTW 19:10 to MDT 23:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.