tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Rochester via Philadelphia: arrives on time 49%

  1. 19:10 DTW → 20:54 PHL
    AA 5167 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 75% on time, 18.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 PHL → 23:41 ROC
    AA 6090 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (18.6% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 31mDTW 19:10 to ROC 23:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.