tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:05 DTW → 07:51 PHL
    AA 5170 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 88% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:58 PHL → 10:38 ORD
    AA 2095 · American · 2h 40m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 33mDTW 06:05 to ORD 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.