tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → St Louis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:05 DTW → 07:51 PHL
    AA 5170 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 88% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 PHL → 10:36 STL
    AA 2720 · American · 2h 35m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 30mDTW 06:05 to STL 10:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.